The World Could Look Very Different on Wednesday—Especially for Ukraine

Russia is escalating attacks on Ukraine's power grid, railways, and civilian infrastructure as winter approaches. But Ukraine is responding with renewed strikes on Russian oil refineries, military aircraft, and missile-launching capabilities.

In this week's BIG PICTURE, Greg and I examine the developments shaping the war and what they mean for the week ahead.

We discuss the proposed 500 Patriot missiles—and why the delivery timeline could be more important than the announcement itself. We also examine China's technological contribution to Russia's expanding drone arsenal, the growing challenges for NATO, and Russia's attempt to turn a humanitarian evacuation into a propaganda victory.

Finally, we look ahead to the November 3 U.S. midterm elections and consider how their outcome could affect American policy toward Ukraine.

**CHAPTERS**

00:00 — The Big Picture: November 1
00:59 — Russia Escalates Attacks on Ukraine's Infrastructure
03:14 — Ukraine Strikes Back at Russian Oil Refineries
04:58 — 500 Patriot Missiles: The Problem With the Deal
07:41 — Trump's Midterm Challenge
11:00 — Zelensky, Erdoğan, and Turkey's Role
12:10 — Russian Drone Violates Romanian Airspace
12:48 — China's Technology Inside Russian Drones
14:44 — Ukraine Targets Russian Missile Launchers and Aircraft
16:42 — Can Ukraine Stop Russia's Attacks at the Source?
18:08 — Oleshky Evacuation and Russian Propaganda
20:49 — Predictions for the Coming Week
21:58 — Could Trump Shift His Focus to Iran?
23:04 — Final Thoughts

**The central question:** Can Ukraine impose enough costs on Russia to change the course of the war before winter intensifies?

Share your assessment in the comments.

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